WEEKEND SURF FORECAST: November 16 - 18 , 2012

15 Nov 2012 0 Share

You probably won't be surfing waves like this over the weekend. Maybe, by Wednesday... maybe. Photo: Ben Macartney

You probably won't be surfing waves like this over the weekend. Maybe, by Wednesday... maybe. Photo: Ben Macartney

Dialling In, Thursday, 15 November 2012

They say that time and tide wait for no man – perhaps an apt phrase when it comes to surfing – but it’s probably more accurate to say man waits for the tide to time good waves. This is particularly applicable along the East Coast over the next few days. The Sydney (Fort Denison) tide charts show a high of about 2 metres on Thursday morning and a low of 0.08 metres during the afternoon – which is about as an extreme coefficient as your likely to see around these parts.

Although Thursday sees the largest tidal range for this phase, Friday and the weekend continue to see big tidal extremes, so it’s probably worth factoring this in depending on when and where you’re planning to surf.

There are some big tidal extremes over the next few days. In the absence of surf, get down to your local for a low tide forage.

There are some big tidal extremes over the next few days. In the absence of surf, get down to your local for a low tide forage.

NSW:
Initially the big Spring Tides coincide with a tiny mix of SSE and NE swells hovering around the one foot mark on Friday, marking a mediocre end to the working week.

However, Saturday sees improved conditions following an overnight increase in S windswell; ticking up to two to three feet across south facing beaches. Although winds are likely to be moderate onshore from the outset, it’s probably worth making the most of what’s on offer on Saturday.

By Sunday morning this short range energy will roughly halve in size, with light ENE winds seeing the cleanest conditions across true south facing coasts. The outlook for early to mid next week holds a little more promise.

Tides & Moon
Nov 14 - Nov 20 - Sydney 

Summary
Friday
Tiny mixture of SSE and NE windswell 1ft exposed beaches. SSE windswell increasing during the afternoon. WIND: Early SSW 10 to 15 knots tending SSE during the day.

Saturday
New S swell up to 2 – 3ft+ Sydney’s south facing beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft+ open beaches and up to a larger 3 – 4ft across Newcastle and the Central Coast. WIND: Early SSE 5 to 15 knots tending E to NE during the afternoon.

Sunday
SSE swell 2ft+ south facing beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft across the majority of open beaches. WIND: Early S change 15 to 20 knots, tending SSE during the afternoon.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Ideally, last weekend’s solid round of ESE groundswell was a taste of things to come this summer. Unfortunately, however, we’ll have to make do with a return to sub-par conditions for the immediate future. As the last of the long distance E swell dwindles away altogether the cold, hard synoptic light of day becomes apparent; there are no substantial new swell sources for the region, beyond minor NE windswell in the one foot range and a small increase in SSE swell on Sunday – predominantly affecting far northern NSW at two feet or so.

Summary
Friday
NE windswell picking up from 1ft+ towards 2ft northern NSW, grading to 1 - 2ft max QLD exposed open coasts. WIND: SSE 20 to 30 knots, easing to 15 to 25 knots.

Saturday
NE windswell at 1 - 2ft exposed open QLD coasts. New SSE windswell picking up to 1 – 2ft northern NSW during the afternoon. WIND: Early light NNW to SW tending N ahead of a strong SSE change during the afternoon.

Sunday
SSE windswell 2 – 3ft+ northern NSW exposed open coasts, gradually to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD. WIND: SSE 15 to 20 knots, increasing tending ESE during the afternoon.

Victoria
A new round of SW groundswell kicks in across the region on Friday before gradually receding over the weekend. Although winds aren’t ideal on Saturday they’ll be light enough to ensure all coasts are surfable throughout the day – probably cleaning up across the Surf Coast as they tend westerly during the afternoon. Sunday sees smaller leftover SW lending the focus to the exposed beaches. Expect smaller surf ranging from two to four feet across the exposed beaches on Sunday, with early light winds seeing the best conditions ahead of strong SW change kicking in during the afternoon.


Friday
New WSW groundswell 5 – 6ft+ across exposed beaches. 2 - 4ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: SSW 10 to 20 knots easing to 5 to 15 knots during the evening.

Saturday
SW swell 4 - 6ft exposed beaches. Up to 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast, easing during the day. WIND: Early light and variable tending SW to SE later.

Sunday
WSW swell 2 - 4ft across the exposed beaches, increasing during the afternoon. Grading to 1 - 2ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light and variable tending SW 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

In theory, you could find waves like this across the South West on Saturday morning. Get me on the next flight to Perth. Photo: Dan Wyer.

In theory, you could find waves like this across the South West on Saturday morning. Get me on the next flight to Perth. Photo: Dan Wyer.

Western Australia:
Some would say the West Coast stands head and shoulders above the East Coast with respect to surf. Perhaps its more accurate to say that the South-west Coast’s average wave height stands head and shoulders above the average East Coast wave height. This weekend is a good case in point. Saturday sees a new round of mid period SW swell picking up into the four to six foot range Down South; a solid pulse coinciding with light ESE winds for most of the morning.

On Sunday expect similarly strong SW swell running across the region, with a renewed push towards four to six feet plus expected during the day. Winds won’t be quite so ideal on Sunday; probably blowing light SE early before turning S to SW during the day.

Summary:

Friday
SW swell
Southwest Coast: 2-3ft+
Perth: flat
WIND: SE winds early, tending seabreeze

Saturday
New SW swell
Southwest Coast: 3-5ft picking up 6ft sets
Perth: 1ft rising 2ft
WIND: Variable light winds early, tending seabreeze

Sunday
SW groundswell rising
Southwest Coast: 4-6ft+
Perth: 2ft
WIND: variable SE wind early, tending SW 10-15kt

Tags: Forecast , NSW , QLD , WA , VIC , Surf , Tides (create Alert from these tags)

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