Bali, Indonesia Surf Forecast: 14 - 20 May, 2013

14 May 2013 0 Share

Coastalwatch's Weekly Indo Surf Forecast Covering Bali, Java, Lombok and Sumbawa

Issued Tuesday, 14 May 2013 by Kathryn Jackson

Indo was pumping due to a series of S and SW groundswells that kicked up 6-8ft conditions last weekend. The good run of swell will gradually slow down and return small to moderate wave conditions over the upcoming week. Towards the end of the month, we see larger long period SW groundswells are underway. 

Yo-Yo's Sumbawa

Yo-Yo's Sumbawa

DAILY SUMMARY

Wednesday, 15 May 
SW swell mix decreasing gradually 3-5ft; sets continue inconsistent 4-6ft on top exposures early but fading in the afternoon. WIND: Variable with showers, shifting N to W 5 to 10 knots.

Thursday, 16 May
SW swell decreased, 3ft with inconsistent sets at standouts occasionally 4-5ft. WIND: Light and variable 5 to 10 knots, tending N

Friday, 17 May
New SW swell fills in, 3-4ft with occasional larger 6ft sets along standouts. WIND: Light and variable, N tending ESE 5 to 10 knots.

Saturday, 18 May
SW swell fading, largest early 3-4ft with occasional 5ft sets at better exposed breaks. Easing through the afternoon. WIND: Light to variable ESE 5 to 10 knots.

Sunday, 19 May
SW swell decreasing, 3ft with occasional 4ft sets on standout breaks. WIND: ESE 5kts increasing SE 10kts through afternoon.

Monday, 20 May
SW swell continues dropping, 2ft with occasional better 3ft+ sets on top exposed breaks. New long period forerunners pick up SW sets in the late afternoon. WIND: ESE 5 to 10 knots.

OVERVIEW

A combination of S/SW swells built in last Thursday and then continued to roll through the following weekend with solid clean 6-8ft conditions along open breaks. The good run of waves will slowly decrease through the week with smaller doses of reinforcing groundswell.

Tuesday saw a last moderate pulse of waves from the SW that will taper off through Wednesday and Thursday. As well, there is expected some increased rain showers Wednesday that will produce shifty wind conditions in the short term. Clearing weather and a return to tradewind conditions should reestablish at the end of the week.

A small range SW groundswell will fill in low level set waves and provide inconsistent surf as it arrives initially Thursday but peaks Friday, 17th May. This swell will deal will long lulls but should provide a slight pulse back up of small to medium wave heights through the end of the week. Waves continue fun but small range into Saturday morning along the focal breaks but the swell will be backing off further Sunday and Monday. For the start of next week, we can expect a return to small surf and the weather returns to seasonal tradewind conditions.

The Indian Ocean slowed down a brief moment in swell production and we will see this translate into smaller swell conditions early next week. However, there are now new storms underway that will produce new long range SW groundswells that should pick up waves again by Tuesday the 21st and continue to build up stronger swell into the end of the month.

A storm currently travelling east across the South Indian Ocean produces a medium range long period SW swell that will pick up head high set waves late Monday 20th for a rise late in the day. The swell will peak into Tuesday with a return to medium plus conditions. Before that storm decreases, a stronger more complex low pressure system reignites a larger extended run of SW groundswells in its following.

Our current SW swells will decrease and show smaller conditions into this weekend before the next run of larger SW groundswells picks up into the middle of next week.

Our current SW swells will decrease and show smaller conditions into this weekend before the next run of larger SW groundswells picks up into the middle of next week.

A new run of long period SW waves will begin pushing up again at the end of next week and looks to show strongest into Friday, 24 May. This secondary large pulse of SW waves will pick up overhead conditions as it continues to build on top of itself into the following weekend.

If this storm follows forecast models, it may continue to produce another overriding SW swell as it is refueled in the Southwest Indian Ocean next week. The next storm phase could produce a reinforcing large scale run of long period waves pushing up another swell into the double overhead range as it potentially peaks around the 27th May. Stay tuned as this storm is still under developing stages and we will watch to see how it unfolds. 

Long range projections show new SW groundswell production picks up large surf for the last week in May.

Long range projections show new SW groundswell production picks up large surf for the last week in May.

Tags: indo , indonesia , forecast (create Alert from these tags)

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