Weekend Surf Forecast 2 - 4 August 2019
Issued Thursday, 1 August 2019
The final month of the 2019 winter continues to bring it on when it comes to good surf. The Eastern Seaboard in particular sees consecutive days of good to excellent conditions as one southerly groundswell after another go back-to-back under early westerly winds. That lends the focus to the NSW coast’s south-exposed breaks for size and power – but many an open beach will also be offering up good options as the swell wraps in at lower levels. It looks like there will be just enough size and period in the swell to produce some fun options across southern Queensland’s south-swell magnets, but otherwise most of the action will be confined to locations south of the border.
Further south, both Victorian and South Australian coasts also benefit from a full weekend of good to great conditions as a sizeable SW swell slowly abates over the course of the weekend. The catalyst is a slow moving high pressure system instating light winds across both states as it drifts over the Great Australian Bight and Victoria. It’s only over west that conditions will turn sour as a developing onshore westerly wind-regime turns both Saturday and Sunday into lay-days across the entire Southwest coast all weekend.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
There’s south swell stacked up well beyond the horizon this weekend as overlapping, mid and long-period southerly wave-trains deliver day after day of solid surf. This should manifest as a continuation of 3 to 4ft conditions across Sydney and surrounds on Friday, ahead of a building trend setting in over the weekend; culminating in a large pulse arriving late on Sunday and maintaining peak size through early Monday. The icing on the cake is a westerly wind-regime prevailing throughout the morning hours, tending to light to moderate onshores in the afternoons.
SSE swell reinforced by new Southerly groundswell. Sets up to a slower 3 to 4ft across south facing breaks, wrapping at 2 to 3ft or so elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Expect a late boost as reinforcing S groundswell starts to show. WIND: SW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending Southerly, then lighter SE to ESE and variable in the afternoon.
Mid-period SSE groundswell rapidly eases. Initially up to 3 to 4ft south facing breaks early, settling to 2 to 3ft+ during the afternoon. Wrapping at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Westerly, WNW 10 to 15 knots early, tending WSW to SSW during the day, then SSE in the afternoon.
Combined mid and long period Southerly groundswell fills in throughout the day. Around 3 to 4ft+ south facing beaches early, building to 4 to 5ft+ during the late afternoon. WIND: Westerly 10 to 15 knots tending South to SE in the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Far northern NSW coasts stand to benefit from a sustained run of powerful southerly groundswell over the next few days. Friday sees a continuation of mid-period energy maintaining the 3 to 4ft+ status quo across south-exposed beaches, ahead of a new, longer period pulse building in on Saturday. This should see wave-heights ramping up pretty dramatically across the region throughout Saturday afternoon, before quickly subsiding again into Sunday morning only to be reinforced by yet another powerful long-period episode on Monday. These back to back groundswells will also refract into southern Queensland coasts to produce smaller, but still fun conditions across the more exposed beaches - but it’s unlikely to be carrying enough size and period to penetrate with any meaningful size along the points. Conditions look good to excellent as early westerly quarter winds will favour exposed coasts throughout the morning hours before giving way to light/ moderate sea-breezes during the afternoons.
Easing SSE groundswell. Far northern NSW: ranging 3 to 4ft+ across south facing breaks, easing in the afternoon. Grading to 2 to 3ft+ along open beaches with size depending on exposure. Southern QLD: around 2 to 3ft along exposed open breaks, grading to 1 to 2ft along the points and inside bays. WIND: Early inshore WSW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending SSE during the morning, then SE in the afternoon.
Leftover SSE swell reinforced by new South groundswell in the afternoon. Northern NSW: Sets ranging from 3 to 4ft along exposed breaks, picking up to 4 to 5ft later. Wrapping at 2 to 4ft elsewhere. Southern QLD: Up to 2 to 3ft along exposed beaches, more like 1 to 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending SSE to SE/NE in the afternoon.
SSE groundswell levels off. Far northern NSW: Speculatively 3 to 4ft across south facing breaks, grading to 2 to 3ft+ along open beaches with size depending on exposure. Southern QLD: around 2 to 3ft along exposed open breaks, grading to 1 to 2ft along the points and inside bays. WIND: WSW to SSW 5 to 15 knots, tending SSE during the afternoon.
The Great Ocean Road is holding this weekend. The confluence of a sustained run of SW groundswell and predominant westerly quarter winds is a virtual no-brainer for good surf across the Torquay reefs and beyond, as several overlapping pulses keep wave heights fluctuating in the 3 to 6ft range for days to come. There is also a good window set to open up across the more south-facing stretches of coast as winds briefly turn to light northerly on Sunday afternoon, so it’s fair to say your surfing options abound all weekend.
Powerful SW groundswell peaks early under light westerly winds. Potential for 6 to 8ft sets along exposed beaches, settling in the afternoon. Wrapping at 4 to 6ft along the Surf Coast reefs, otherwise grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Westerly, WSW 10 to 20 knots.
Potential for reinforcing, long-period SSW groundswell filling in throughout the day. Sets around 5 to 6ft+ along exposed beaches, speculatively rebuilding to 6 to 8ft in the afternoon. Wrapping at 3 to 5ft along the Surf Coast reefs, picking up later. Otherwise smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Westerly, WNW 15 to 20 knots, tending WSW to SW in the afternoon.
Large SSW groundswell slowly eases under West to NW winds. Ranging from 5 to 7ft along exposed beaches, wrapping at 4 to 5ft+ along the Surf Coast reefs, grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Light WNW to NW 5 to 10 knots tending Northerly, NNE in the afternoon.
In the wake of a full week of cracking conditions across the Southwest, you’ll probably want to drag yourself out of bed for one more early session on Friday morning. Fresh NE winds will open up one last window of opportunity for some solid, mostly clean conditions before winds start to veer north into the afternoon – and from there it’s pretty much all over. The approach of a strong frontal low on Saturday will see onshore NW winds cancelling out surfing prospects on Saturday morning. The low’s passage will lead in a sustained pattern of onshore westerly quarter winds, prevailing for the remainder of the weekend and probably most of next week.
Leftover SW groundswell eases throughout the day. Southwest: Sets 5 to 8ft exposed areas, settling to 4 to 6ft during the day. Perth: tending 2 to 3ft under cross-offshores, fading later. WIND: NE 15 to 20 knots, tending NNE, Northerly and then easing in the afternoon.
New WSW groundswell gradually builds. Southwest: Windy 3 to 4ft along exposed breaks, picking up to 4 to 6ft+ in the afternoon. Perth: 1 to 2ft, bigger later. WIND: Early NNW to NW 10 to 15 knots, shifting Westerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Potential for large, lumpy WSW groundswell. Southwest: Speculatively up to a junky 8 to 12ft+ across exposed coasts, easing in the afternoon, grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth: Around 2 to 4ft, easing later. WIND: Westerly 10 to 15 knots, tending WNW in the afternoon.
The opening weekend of August brings excellent conditions to South Oz, as a mostly favourable, light wind-regime coincides with a large SW groundswell; substantially arriving on Friday before slowly tapering off over the course of the weekend. While a light WNW to SSW pattern may keep a lid on surface quality on Friday and Saturday, winds will swing to the north on Sunday as a high migrates over the southeast of continent, opening up a full day of excellent conditions state-wide.
Potential for large and powerful SW groundswell under light winds. South Coast: Sets up to 5 to 8ft around Waits and Parsons. Grading to 3 to 5ft+ around Middleton. Mid Coast: 2 to 3ft. WIND: Light and variable around 5 to 10 knots, tending Southerly later.
Settling SW groundswell under easing wind. South Coast: easing 5 to 6ft+ sets at Waits and Parsons early, grading to 3 to 5ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Around 2ft. WIND: Variable NW to WNW 5 to 10 knots, tending West to WSW in the afternoon.
Easing SSW groundswell continues to settle. South Coast: Clean 4 to 5ft+ at Waits and Parsons, wrapping sets 3 to 4ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: settled 1 to 2ft. WIND: Northerly, NNE 5 to 10 knots early, tending NW later.
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