Weekend Surf Forecast 9 - 11 September, 2016

8 Sep 2016 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday, 8 September 2016

As far as spring goes, there’s plenty of inspiration to be found in the forecast this weekend, with just about every state having a moment in the sun. For the NSW coast, this occurs on Saturday as a short-range NE swell peaks at a fun size under offshore WNW winds. Across southern Queensland it won’t be until Sunday that a favourable SW wind-shift opens up clean conditions across the region – and this also applies to Victoria and Western Australia, with favourable offshore wind shifts forecast for both states this Sunday.

Like last week, we’ve once again embedded some video continent into the mix – this time throwing in three awesome vids highlighting recent surfing conditions across Queensland, Western Australia, and South Australia. 

SEE ALSO: This Guy Made A Surfboard Out Of Cardboard That Actually Shreds


There's plenty of fun in the sun to be had around the continent this weekend. Photo: CW user Mattimages.

There's plenty of fun in the sun to be had around the continent this weekend. Photo: CW user Mattimages.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Going on the summary below, you could be forgiven for thinking you’re looking at last week’s forecast. That’s because there are uncanny similarities with last weekend; so similar in fact, that I probably could have re-published the previous forecast in its entirety and just about got away with it. The key difference this time around is much higher confidence in the projected NE windswell for Saturday.

The development of a slow moving NNE fetch offshore over the next 48 hours presents a high probability for a fun sized NE swell ranging either side of 3ft across open beaches on Saturday – and once again this will coincide with a favourable WNW wind-shift moving through during the morning. In contrast, there’s much lower confidence on any substantial S swell following on Sunday – so stay tuned to Friday’s detailed forecast for updates on this.

SEE ALSO: Even Better Than The Real Thing, The Look Inside Wavepools

Friday
Small mix of NE windswell and underlying S swell. Mix of NE windswell and underlying S swell. Around 1 – 2ft+ exposed open breaks early, picking up towards 2 - 3ft+ during the afternoon. WIND: Early light N tending NE/NNE 15 to 30 knots.

Saturday
Clean and peaky all day long. NE windswell. Consistent 2 – 4ft exposed open breaks, easing later. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early NNW 10 to 20 knots, tending WNW during the day, then WSW into the afternoon.

Sunday
Better than a poke in the eye with a blunt stick. New S swell. Sets to 2 – 3ft across south facing breaks, easing during the afternoon. Mixing with leftover NE swell at lower levels elsewhere. WIND: WSW 5 to 15 knots tending light SE to NE 5 to 10 knots later.

W winds + NE swell = Pretty good fun across the NSW coast this Saturday. Photo: CW user Taylorve.

W winds + NE swell = Pretty good fun across the NSW coast this Saturday. Photo: CW user Taylorve.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
There’s waves for days across the region this weekend; comprised of short-period ENE windswell running at a consistent 2 to 3ft. While this all sounds good in theory, there is a caveat on associated surf potential; that being persistent onshore winds, initially blowing strong out of the NE on Friday before swinging to the north on  Saturday – and this isn’t exactly good news if you reside along the southern Queensland coast. It won’t be until a lighter south-westerly change moves through early on Sunday that conditions will clean up across the majority of open beaches and points, making for a full morning of clean conditions before winds swing SE later in the day.

SEE ALSO: This Is How You Line Up The Perfect Slabbing Barrel

Friday
Find a sheltered northern corner. ENE tradewind swell. Junky, windblown 2 – 3ft exposed QLD coasts, mixing with small S groundswell at similar levels across northern NSW south facing breaks. Grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: NE 10 to 20 knots, tending NNE during the afternoon.

Saturday
Northerly winds persist. ENE tradewind swell. Around 2 - 3ft exposed QLD breaks, mixing with small S swell at similar levels across northern NSW coasts. WIND: N 15 to 20 knots, tending lighter NNW during the afternoon.

Sunday
Clean all morning. Fading ENE tradewind swell. Sets around 2ft+ exposed QLD breaks. Mixing with residual SSE swell at similar levels across northern NSW south facing breaks. Tiny inside the points and bays. WIND: Early WSW to SW tending SSE to SE 5 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

(Photo Uploaded by Coastalwatch User LJM, Video by Craig Halstead)

Victoria
They say variety is the spice of life - and as far as surfing conditions go, there's no shortage of just that in the forecast this weekend. Friday sees all the surf-action confined to the most exposed open beaches as small-scale SW swell coincides with moderate NNE winds; producing good conditions until a SW change butchers it later in the day. Saturday starts out as a write off as SW winds persist at strength – but the swell will be on the up and it’s well worth checking conditions with winds forecast to swing west during the afternoon. By Sunday, however, we will be back on as a powerful round of WSW groundswell shifts the focus to the Surf Coast and other semi-sheltered stretches. This pulse is greeted by light WNW winds, making for a full day of good conditions as they drop away to light and variable during the day.

SEE ALSO: Is This The Best Women's Surf Clip Of The Year

Friday
Hit an exposed stretch early. New SW groundswell slowly builds. Around 2 – 3ft exposed coasts, bumping up towards 3 – 4ft during the afternoon. Grading to a slow 1 – 2ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early NNE 10 to 20 knots, tending lighter NW/WNW before shifting SW during the afternoon.

Saturday
Wait for the late. Mid and long period WSW groundswell slowly build. Sets to 3- 5ft across exposed beaches, picking up to 4 – 6ft. Wrapping into Surf Coast breaks at 2 - 3ft. WIND: SW 15 to 25 knots, easing and tending lighter W later.

Sunday
Cranking across the Surf Coast all day. WSW groundswell peaks. Sets around 5 – 8ft exposed breaks, grading to 3 – 5ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light WNW tending light and variable during the day.

Photo by Mark De Koning

Photo by Mark De Koning

Western Australia
All signs point to Sunday as the one and only day to set everything else aside in the name of surfing. In the wake of Thursday’s heavy 10 to 15ft peak in WSW storm-swell, conditions are set to gradually settle; initially remaining unruly throughout Friday before steadily improving as winds swing SSE on Saturday. However, it won’t be until Sunday that a further anticlockwise in wind-direction to the ESE culminates in the epitome of good West Coast conditions; offshore and pumping at 6 to 8ft across the Southwest Coast all day.

SEE ALSO: Surf Forecast Video, Are You Ready For This Indian Ocean Double Whammy Swell

Friday
Ugly onshore chunks. Ease in large SW groundswell . Southwest coast: 8-10ft, easing. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft. WNW winds 10-15kt tending 20kts. Lighter NE winds early Perth/Mandurah.

Saturday
Good inside the bays. Overlapping SW groundswell fills in under improving winds. Southwest coast: 8-10ft early, possible larger sets later. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft+, larger sets later. S'ly winds 15-20kts tending SSE 25kts. Light variable winds Perth/Mandurah early.

Sunday
Pumping all day. SW groundswell eases slowly under a moderate ESE-SE breeze. Southwest coast: 6-8ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft+, easing. ESE-SE wind 15-20kts.

(Video by Isaac Jones)

South Australia
The longer you wait, the better conditions will get across the state this weekend. Friday sets a low-bar as small-scale SW swell coincides with strong onshore SW winds. However, from Saturday onwards conditions begin to improve as winds start to peter out and turn WNW during the afternoon. This precedes the arrival of a stronger round of WSW groundswell on Sunday, making for a full day of solid 3 to 4ft conditions under favourable NNW to NW winds.

SEE ALSO: Nick Carroll On The Anonymous Scrawl

Friday
Slowly rising. SW groundswell gradually picks up. Around 2ft across exposed South Coast beaches early, rising to 2 – 3ft during the afternoon. Grading to 0.5ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: WSW 10 to 20 knots tending SW 15 to 25 knots during the day.

Saturday
Improving throughout the day. SW groundswell.  Around 2- 4ft South Coast beaches, grading to 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: WSW 5 to 15 knots, tending lighter WNW later.

Sunday
New SW groundswell picks up. Sets around 3 – 4ft exposed South Coast beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light NNW tending NW later.

(Photo by Rob Pearson & Video by Mitch Imgraben)

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