The Weekend Surf Forecast 8 - 10 September, 2017
COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast
Forecast issued Thursday, 7 September 2017 by Dan Wyer
Australia, the land of plenty, plenty of swell that is.
Well that’s the way it’s looking for the weekend ahead, more so for our eastern shores with strong back to back SSW - South groundswells making land fall across the East, Victorian and SA coasts. Coming off the back off a quality day of surf today, across the NSW coast we are now looking at a temporary, slight ease in swell Friday morning prior to overlapping energy in south groundswell filling in. Larger energy then shows into the weekend, peaking Sunday.
Further north, dispersed energy is then expected to show a little later across northern NSW and southern Queensland coasts. Building Saturday before peaking later on Sunday under a generally favorable, offshore wind pattern. Meanwhile further south, proceeding a period of lighter westerly winds early on Friday, onshore SW winds are expected to render conditions messy across Victoria’s Surf Coast and South Australia’s South Coast.
There will be no shortage in swell as we see a large mid range SW pulse throughout Friday prior to a better aligned SSW groundswell overlapping on Saturday, easing Sunday as winds tend offshore. Meanwhile, on the West Coast we are looking at some small, fun sized conditions on Friday and early Saturday morning prior to a return of a moderate onshore breeze.
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Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
After a strong push in south swell today, Thursday we are looking at a second, stronger rise in S swell setting in across the region on Friday. This is linked to the passage of a second, vigorous frontal low feeding into the active storm-track extending northeast from below Tasmania, out across the southern Tasman Sea.
Building wave heights are expected Friday/ Saturday; leading to a peak in S groundswell early on Sunday. Moderate to fresh west to south-westerly winds prevail throughout Friday, Saturday before easing off on Sunday.
Mix of mid and short period S swell.Consistent sets to 3 – 5ft south facing breaks, picking up a foot or so during the afternoon. Grading to 2 – 4ft across open beaches with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early W tending WSW 15 to 20 knots during the day.
S swell building during the day. Sets to 4 - 6ft south facing breaks, rising to 5 – 6ft+ later. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WSW/SW 15 to 20 knots, tending SSW during the morning and lighter SSE during the afternoon.
S groundswell peaks throughout the morning. Sets ranging from 5 – 8ft south facing beaches, grading to 3 – 6ft+ elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light W to SW 5 to 15 knots, tending light and variable, then NE during the afternoon
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A decent run of surf ahead for the QLD, northern NSW coasts. Thursday’s leading S swell is projected to ease marginally on Friday, maintaining good 2 to 4ft conditions south of the border all day. It won’t be until Saturday that we start to see a second, stronger push in S swell filling in across the region. This is shaping up as a peak in the 5 to 6ft plus range across northern NSW southern exposures from Sunday afternoon through to Monday morning with scope for clean 3 to 4ft sets wrapping into southern Queensland’s exposed breaks like Duranbah and TOS. Due to the south angled swell, expect varied wave heights across the region. All in all we should see some decent options across all coasts.
Mid-period S groundswell. Sets to 2 - 4ft northern NSW south facing breaks. Grading to 1 - 2ft+ exposed QLD coasts and tiny inside the points and bays. WIND: Early WSW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter ESE to ENE seabreezes later.
Larger mid period S groundswell. 3 – 4ft+ northern NSW south facing breaks, wrapping at 2 – 3ft exposed QLD coasts and a foot or two smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early WSW/ SSW 10 to 20 knots, tending lighter SSE to SE later.
Rising S groundswell throughout the day. 4 – 6ft sets exposed northern NSW breaks, building to 5 – 7ft during the afternoon. Grading to 3 - 4ft exposed Queensland beaches and smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early WSW to SSW, tending SE/ESE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Swell - check. Offshore winds - not quite. Proceeding a period of lighter W’ly winds Friday morning you will be searching out the more sheltered corners on the Surf Coast and within Flinders bay for the cleanest conditions. Winds then shift favourably into the NW on Sunday coupled with easing levels of SSW groundswell. Large mid period SW swell shows building wave heights Friday prior to a better aligned pulse in strong SSW groundswell overlapping Saturday, easing Sunday.
Stormy SW swell rebuilds throughout the day. Sets to 5 – 6ft+ exposed beaches early, rising to 5 – 8ft during the afternoon. Sets up to 4 – 6ft+ along the Surf Coast bumping up later. WIND: Early W inshore across the Surf Coast, turning SW 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Large SSW groundswell slowly abates.Lumpy sets to 6 – 8ft exposed breaks early, easing to 5 – 6ft+ later. Grading to a bumpy 5 – 6ft+ across the Surf Coast, easing later. WIND: Early W 10 to 15 knots tending WSW to SW during the afternoon.
Leftover SW groundswell.Sets to 4 – 5ft+ exposed beaches early, easing towards 3 – 4ft+ later. Around 3 - 4ft across the Surf Coast, easing later. WIND: NW 10 to 15 knots, tending N to NE during the afternoon.
Unfortunately we are looking at onshore winds to return for the weekend in the southwest. Friday remains the stand out day throughout the period as fading levels of mid range SW groundswell fall under a moderate offshore flow. Light winds early Saturday morning hold some hope before before a moderate onshore W’ly flow sets in throughout the rest of the weekend.
SW groundswell eases under offshore winds. South West: 2-4ft sets fading. Perth/Mandurah. 0.5ft. WIND: ENE 10-15kts easing light to variable in afternoon.
Small SW groundswell with light wind early. South West: 2-3ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 0.5ft. WIND: Calm tending variable W'ly under developing seabreeze 10-15kts.
New WSW swell combo increases under variable winds. South West coast: 3-5ft rising 6-8ft sets late. Perth/Mandurah: increasing 1-2ft sets. WIND: W 10-15kts between the capes, tending calm to light in Perth/Mandurah.
Average onshore conditions Friday prior to a a period of light variable winds Saturday, freshening NE on Sunday. An overlapping pulse in SSW groundswell fills in Saturday prior to slowly easing off into the weekend. We should see an array of options from some small glassy waves on the Mid Saturday grading better on the south coast. Exposed breaks on the south coast hold promise on Sunday as the swell drops and winds tend into the NE.
Reinforcing SSW swell under onshore winds. Junky 3 – 5ft exposed South Coast beaches with size depending on exposure. Refracted 1 - 1.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: SSW 15 to 25 knots, easing during the afternoon
Reinforcing SSW groundswell. Sets 3 – 5ft exposed South Coast breaks. Refracted 1 – 1.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: WNW 5 to 10 knots, tending SW. Light NE Mid Coast tending variable.
Easing SSW groundswell. Ranging from 2 – 3ft+ exposed South Coast breaks. WSW swell around 0.5 - 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: NE 10 to 15 knots tending NNW.
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