Weekend Surf Forecast 03 - 05 November, 2017

2 Nov 2017 0 Share

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday, 11 November 2017

Friday will show the most swell energy across the country before surf drops down through the weekend. A building high pressure system will then become the dominant feature across the country Saturday to Sunday. 

We see a dissipating East Coast Low in the Tasman offer a final stretch of a S swell along NSW Friday before rapidly fading Saturday.  Over Victoria, a reinforcing SSW swell Friday afternoon will likely be dealing with onshore winds before trailing off over the weekend. Meanwhile over in SA and WA, offshore winds and fading swell show favorable conditions but small range surf. 

Forecast charts indicate an emerging broad central 1028mb high setting up across the bight Saturday and Sunday; stretching widely from the southwest corner to the southeast corner of the continent. What this means for conditions is that wind and weather will gradually improve across the southern half of Australia through the weekend. However, the high also presents a blocking pattern for swell generation and this will lead to decreased smaller surf. However, the East Coast will get a projected SE wind flow off the northeast quadrant of the high pressure system, which will produce some additional short range SE waves with onshores. Read on for more details...

Photo by CW User Dkimber.

Photo by CW User Dkimber.


Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
A large S swell will shows strongest and most favorable conditions Friday morning before surf fades rapidly through the afternoon. As well, Friday morning is highlighted by light wind conditions before we see a rotation of SE windflow create additional onshore texture heading into the weekend. By Saturday and Sunday, moderate onshore wind and underlying E swell will show average and smaller conditions.

Friday
SSE swell drops down quickly. Faded and clean early with residual SSE sets ranging from 4 - 6ft south exposed breaks and fading to 3ft later. Protected areas see smaller leftover mix of 2-3ft sets early then fading by midday. WIND: Early calm to light and variable, tending ESE 10 to 15 knots later.

Saturday
Residual SSE swell mixed with a new SE swell reinforcement. Combined sets 3 – 4ft exposed south open beaches, tending inconsistent 2ft elsewhere. Smaller in south protected bays and points. WIND: SE 10 to 20 knots early, tending ESE 10 to 15 knots in afternoon.

Sunday
Combination of SE and E swell energies. Crossed up 2-3ft+ sets on open and exposed beachies, tending smaller 1-2ft in protected bays and points. WIND: Early ESE 10 to 15 knots, shifting E during the afternoon.


Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A mix of low range E swell will be crossed with a refracted long period S swell for selected breaks Friday. Those S sets will then drop out Saturday and a long range, low level E swell will become the dominant swell source over the weekend. The E waves will hold small but steady as they come off a distant E trade wind fetch situated near the south Pacific. This should maintain straight 1 to 3ft range surf across the region while local conditions see a pattern of light morning winds followed by afternoon onshores.

Friday
Small background E swell combined with some S swell wrap at south focal breaks. Inconsistent S sets ranging from 2 - 4ft northern NSW south facing breaks, grading to 1 - 2ft across exposed QLD and near flat inside the points and bays. E swell continues 1 -2ft. WIND: Early light and variable, tending NE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Small long range E swell and residual S swell. Ranging 1 - 3ft across exposed breaks, tending 1ft elsewhere. Grading smaller in bays and points. WIND: Calm early, tending seabreeze E to 10 knots during the afternoon. 

Sunday
ESE and underlying E swell combo. Straight angled 1 - 3ft to open beachies. Grading smaller 1ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early light S 5 knots tending ESE 10 to 15 knots in afternoon.

Photo by CW User Johnte.

Photo by CW User Johnte.

Victoria
A mild and weak front is forecasted to pass east Friday afternoon and unfortunately a moderate southerly wind flow shows onshore conditions in the wake of the system. Conditions look to deteriorate in the short term while a new mid period SSW swell builds in briefly through early Saturday. However, a rebuilding high pressure system will sets up across the bight this weekend and gradually ease winds Saturday to Sunday. Expect decreasing and smaller settling surf during that time as the high pressure system essentially blocks any storms from driving up new swell sources.

Friday
Fading SW swell early followed by additional mid period SSW swell later. Sets 3 - 5ft+ along the exposed beaches early, tending textured during the afternoon and rising 4-6ft. Grading 2 - 3ft along the Surf Coast with S texture likely. WIND: Early SW 10 to 15 knots before freshening SSW to S 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Mid period SSW swell and decreased groundswell. Crossed up 3-5ft surf along exposed beaches. Grading to 1 – 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: SW 10 to 15 knots tending SSW 10 knots in afternoon.

Sunday
S swell fading to lower levels. Residual sets on exposed breaks hanging around 2-4ft. Grading to small 1-2ft range along the Surf Coast. WIND: Light to variable early, tending SE 10 knots in afternoon.

Photo by CW User Billy Cervi.

Photo by CW User Billy Cervi.

Western Australia
A high pressure system will dominate conditions with offshore winds and fair to good beach weather this weekend. A SW swell decreases throughout Friday and Saturday and easing wave heights show smaller clean surf coupled with favourable offshore winds. On Sunday, distant WSW groundswell energy shows some sets possibly bump up while winds continue to tend out of the east.

Friday
Small swell, offshore ESE winds with afternoon sea breezes. South West: Clean, 2-4ft, easing. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 1ft. WIND: ESE at 10-20kts tending SSW 20kts in the afternoon.

Saturday
Small left over SW swell eases under a moderate SE breeze. South West: Clean, 1-3ft, rising late. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 0.5-1ft. WIND: SE at 15-20kts tending 20-25kts S’ly in the afternoon.

Sunday
New WSW groundswell shows continued ESE winds. South West: Clean, inconsistent 3-4ft. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 1-2ft. WIND: ESE at 10-20kts easing 10-15kts SSE.

Photo by CW User Penny Kempe

Photo by CW User Penny Kempe

South Australia
A high sets up across the region and will steer away bulk groundswell energy for smaller surf over the weekend. The high also generates a steady ESE - SE’ly flow, allowing only small, clean left overs on the Mid coast Friday before conditions are expected to turn tiny, flat. Modestly rising levels of SE wind swell show across the South Coast combined with a small, background SW swell but conditions will be effected by afternoon seabreezes.


Friday
Further ease in SW groundswell under moderate SE winds. South Coast: Bumpy 2-4ft, easing. Mid Coast: Mostly clean 1-1.5ft. WIND: SSE at 15-20kts easing 10-15kts.

Saturday
Rising SE wind swell down south combined with low levels of SW swell. South Coast: Messy 2-3ft+. Mid Coast: Clean 0.5-1ft. WIND: ESE at 10-20kts slowly easing SW. 

Sunday
Slight overlap in mid period SW swell mixed with SE wind swell down south. South Coast: Windblown 2-4ft early. Mid Coast: Clean, tiny to flat. WIND: ESE at 20-25kts tending SE.

SEE ALSO: BALI & INDONESIA FORECAST

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